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The Trade War is Keeping Business Travel in Limbo


Business travel, having spent four years recovering from the pandemic, now faces new challenges due to uncertainties stemming from U.S. trade policies. Suzanne Neufang, CEO of the Global Business Travel Association (GBTA), highlighted rising pessimism, with forecasts originally predicting a surge in worldwide spending to $1.64 trillion by 2025 now hindered by expectations of a potential 22% decline in business trips, attributed to government actions. A recent GBTA survey indicated that roughly 29% of corporate travel managers anticipated a decrease in travel this year.

Despite these concerns, experts note that bookings have not collapsed. Jonathan Kletzel from PwC stated that while business travel is constrained, companies still prioritize market presence to stay competitive. Nevertheless, Delta Air Lines reported a slowdown in travel demand, prompting adjustments in growth plans, a sentiment echoed by other airlines and hotel operators like Marriott and Hilton, who have reduced financial forecasts.

The ongoing impact of the Trump administration’s cuts to the federal workforce, particularly regarding government contractors, has led to notable reductions in travel sales. Firms like Global Travel Associates reported a 20% drop in sales, with many clients canceling or postponing travel plans. This trend has raised anxiety among individual travelers, evidenced by a significant increase in searches for travel insurance covering cancellations for work reasons.

Overall, the outlook for business travel remains tentative, with industry professionals suggesting a cautious approach. While leisure travel might feel the pinch sooner due to economic downturns, corporate travel may take longer to reflect these changes. For now, the expectation is a slow year for all types of travel in the U.S. market into 2025.

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